EdgeGoatRice Owls at Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET
William R. Johnson Coliseum, Nacogdoches
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA ML | 83.2% | 83.3%−500 | −0.1 pts |
| RICE ML | 16.8% | 22.2%+350 | −5.4 pts |
| SFA -9.5 | 60.4% | 52.4%−110 | +8.1 pts |
| RICE +9.5 | 39.6% | 52.4%−110 | −12.8 pts |
| Over 147.5 | 53.3% | 53.5%−115 | −0.1 pts |
| Under 147.5 | 46.7% | 51.2%−105 | −4.6 pts |
- SFA ML−0.1 pts
- Model
- 83.2%
- Book
- 83.3%−500
- RICE ML−5.4 pts
- Model
- 16.8%
- Book
- 22.2%+350
- SFA -9.5+8.1 pts
- Model
- 60.4%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- RICE +9.5−12.8 pts
- Model
- 39.6%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Over 147.5−0.1 pts
- Model
- 53.3%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 147.5−4.6 pts
- Model
- 46.7%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Frequently asked questions
When does Rice Owls at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks start?
Rice Owls at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (NCAAB) starts at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at William R. Johnson Coliseum, Nacogdoches.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Rice Owls at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks?
The model projects about 148.9 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Rice Owls at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks?
The model favors Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks by about 13.0 points.
Build around this game in the app
See every line the model prices for this game, build correlation-aware parlays, and track each leg live.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).