EdgeGoatToledo Rockets at Detroit Mercy TitansPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Calihan Hall, Detroit
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
74.3%84.6%−10.3 pts
Model74.3%Book−55084.6%Edge−10.3 pts
25.7%21.1%+4.6 pts
Model25.7%Book+37521.1%Edge+4.6 pts
SpreadModel: TOL by 9.0
DETM +9.5
Model51.3%Book50.0%+100+1.3 pts
TotalModel: 150.1 points
Under 153.5
Model57.9%Book52.4%−110+5.5 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETM ML | 25.7% | 21.1%+375 | +4.6 pts |
| TOL ML | 74.3% | 84.6%−550 | −10.3 pts |
| DETM +9.5 | 51.3% | 50.0%+100 | +1.3 pts |
| TOL -9.5 | 48.7% | 54.5%−120 | −5.9 pts |
| Over 153.5 | 42.1% | 52.4%−110 | −10.3 pts |
| Under 153.5 | 57.9% | 52.4%−110 | +5.5 pts |
- DETM ML+4.6 pts
- Model
- 25.7%
- Book
- 21.1%+375
- TOL ML−10.3 pts
- Model
- 74.3%
- Book
- 84.6%−550
- DETM +9.5+1.3 pts
- Model
- 51.3%
- Book
- 50.0%+100
- TOL -9.5−5.9 pts
- Model
- 48.7%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- Over 153.5−10.3 pts
- Model
- 42.1%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 153.5+5.5 pts
- Model
- 57.9%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Toledo Rockets at Detroit Mercy Titans start?
Toledo Rockets at Detroit Mercy Titans (NCAAB) starts at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Calihan Hall, Detroit.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Toledo Rockets at Detroit Mercy Titans?
The model projects about 150.1 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Toledo Rockets at Detroit Mercy Titans?
The model favors Toledo Rockets by about 9.0 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).