EdgeGoatUC Riverside Highlanders at Fresno State BulldogsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM ET
Save Mart Center, Fresno
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES ML | 49.6% | 65.5%−190 | −15.9 pts |
| UCR ML | 50.4% | 40.0%+150 | +10.4 pts |
| FRES -3.5 | 39.3% | 53.5%−115 | −14.2 pts |
| UCR +3.5 | 60.7% | 51.2%−105 | +9.5 pts |
| Over 146.5 | 49.6% | 53.5%−115 | −3.9 pts |
| Under 146.5 | 50.4% | 51.2%−105 | −0.8 pts |
- FRES ML−15.9 pts
- Model
- 49.6%
- Book
- 65.5%−190
- UCR ML+10.4 pts
- Model
- 50.4%
- Book
- 40.0%+150
- FRES -3.5−14.2 pts
- Model
- 39.3%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- UCR +3.5+9.5 pts
- Model
- 60.7%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Over 146.5−3.9 pts
- Model
- 49.6%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 146.5−0.8 pts
- Model
- 50.4%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Frequently asked questions
When does UC Riverside Highlanders at Fresno State Bulldogs start?
UC Riverside Highlanders at Fresno State Bulldogs (NCAAB) starts at 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Save Mart Center, Fresno.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for UC Riverside Highlanders at Fresno State Bulldogs?
The model projects about 146.3 combined points.
Who does the model favor in UC Riverside Highlanders at Fresno State Bulldogs?
The model favors UC Riverside Highlanders by about 0.1 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).