EdgeGoatNew Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara BroncosPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET
Leavey Center, Santa Clara
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
47.2%55.6%−8.3 pts
Model47.2%Book−12555.6%Edge−8.3 pts
52.8%50.0%+2.8 pts
Model52.8%Book+10050.0%Edge+2.8 pts
SpreadModel: SCU by 0.9
SCU +1.5
Model57.2%Book53.5%−115+3.7 pts
TotalModel: 162.9 points
Under 165.5
Model55.8%Book51.2%−105+4.6 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCU ML | 52.8% | 50.0%+100 | +2.8 pts |
| UNM ML | 47.2% | 55.6%−125 | −8.3 pts |
| SCU +1.5 | 57.2% | 53.5%−115 | +3.7 pts |
| UNM -1.5 | 42.8% | 51.2%−105 | −8.4 pts |
| Over 165.5 | 44.2% | 53.5%−115 | −9.3 pts |
| Under 165.5 | 55.8% | 51.2%−105 | +4.6 pts |
- SCU ML+2.8 pts
- Model
- 52.8%
- Book
- 50.0%+100
- UNM ML−8.3 pts
- Model
- 47.2%
- Book
- 55.6%−125
- SCU +1.5+3.7 pts
- Model
- 57.2%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- UNM -1.5−8.4 pts
- Model
- 42.8%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Over 165.5−9.3 pts
- Model
- 44.2%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 165.5+4.6 pts
- Model
- 55.8%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Frequently asked questions
When does New Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara Broncos start?
New Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara Broncos (NCAAB) starts at 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Leavey Center, Santa Clara.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for New Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara Broncos?
The model projects about 162.9 combined points.
Who does the model favor in New Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara Broncos?
The model favors Santa Clara Broncos by about 0.9 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).