EdgeGoatUtah Tech Trailblazers at California Golden BearsPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
Haas Pavilion, Berkeley
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAL ML | 75.6% | 92.9%−1300 | −17.2 pts |
| UTU ML | 24.4% | 12.5%+700 | +11.9 pts |
| CAL -14.5 | 35.0% | 52.4%−110 | −17.4 pts |
| UTU +14.5 | 65.0% | 52.4%−110 | +12.6 pts |
| Over 158.5 | 52.9% | 53.5%−115 | −0.6 pts |
| Under 158.5 | 47.1% | 51.2%−105 | −4.1 pts |
- CAL ML−17.2 pts
- Model
- 75.6%
- Book
- 92.9%−1300
- UTU ML+11.9 pts
- Model
- 24.4%
- Book
- 12.5%+700
- CAL -14.5−17.4 pts
- Model
- 35.0%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- UTU +14.5+12.6 pts
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Over 158.5−0.6 pts
- Model
- 52.9%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 158.5−4.1 pts
- Model
- 47.1%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Frequently asked questions
When does Utah Tech Trailblazers at California Golden Bears start?
Utah Tech Trailblazers at California Golden Bears (NCAAB) starts at 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Haas Pavilion, Berkeley.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Utah Tech Trailblazers at California Golden Bears?
The model projects about 159.8 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Utah Tech Trailblazers at California Golden Bears?
The model favors California Golden Bears by about 9.3 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).