EdgeGoatUtah Valley Wolverines at Nevada Wolf PackPreview · NCAAB · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET
Lawlor Events Center, Reno
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
22.6%21.1%+1.5 pts
Model22.6%Book+37521.1%Edge+1.5 pts
77.4%84.0%−6.6 pts
Model77.4%Book−52584.0%Edge−6.6 pts
SpreadModel: NEV by 10.5
NEV -9.5
Model52.8%Book53.5%−115−0.7 pts
TotalModel: 155.0 points
Over 152.5
Model55.7%Book53.5%−115+2.2 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV ML | 77.4% | 84.0%−525 | −6.6 pts |
| UVU ML | 22.6% | 21.1%+375 | +1.5 pts |
| NEV -9.5 | 52.8% | 53.5%−115 | −0.7 pts |
| UVU +9.5 | 47.2% | 51.2%−105 | −4.0 pts |
| Over 152.5 | 55.7% | 53.5%−115 | +2.2 pts |
| Under 152.5 | 44.3% | 51.2%−105 | −6.9 pts |
- NEV ML−6.6 pts
- Model
- 77.4%
- Book
- 84.0%−525
- UVU ML+1.5 pts
- Model
- 22.6%
- Book
- 21.1%+375
- NEV -9.5−0.7 pts
- Model
- 52.8%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- UVU +9.5−4.0 pts
- Model
- 47.2%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Over 152.5+2.2 pts
- Model
- 55.7%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 152.5−6.9 pts
- Model
- 44.3%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Frequently asked questions
When does Utah Valley Wolverines at Nevada Wolf Pack start?
Utah Valley Wolverines at Nevada Wolf Pack (NCAAB) starts at 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at Lawlor Events Center, Reno.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Utah Valley Wolverines at Nevada Wolf Pack?
The model projects about 155.0 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Utah Valley Wolverines at Nevada Wolf Pack?
The model favors Nevada Wolf Pack by about 10.5 points.
Build around this game in the app
See every line the model prices for this game, build correlation-aware parlays, and track each leg live.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).