EdgeGoat
Aaron Jones Sr.
Minnesota Vikings · #33 · 20 games logged
Rush Yds · last 2051.1
Rush TD · last 200.2
Rec · last 202.2
Rec Yds · last 2014.7
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs BUF | 16 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 1 | @ DET | 22 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 25 | vs IND | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 11 | @ NO | 113 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vs MIA | 94 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @ TB | 58 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | @ CHI | 105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vs GB | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dec 25 | vs DET | 53 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| Dec 21 | @ NYG | 85 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 14 | @ DAL | 34 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 7 | vs WSH | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 30 | @ SEA | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 23 | @ GB | 41 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16 | vs CHI | 70 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 9 | vs BAL | 47 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| Nov 2 | @ DET | 78 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 23 | @ LAC | 15 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | vs ATL | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8 | @ CHI | 23 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 1 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 Rush+Rec Yds | Nov 9 · projected 59.0 | 59.0 | 61.1% | 54.5% |
| Over 34.5 Rush Yds | Nov 9 · projected 43.7 | 43.7 | 50.7% | 50.0% |
| Over 41.5 Rush+Rec Yds | Nov 1 · projected 88.2 | 88.2 | 83.2% | 53.5% |
| Over 29.5 Rush Yds | Nov 1 · projected 71.8 | 71.8 | 68.3% | 50.0% |
| Over 7.5 Rush Att | Nov 1 · projected 16.1 | 16.1 | 75.3% | 55.6% |
| Over 57.5 Rush+Rec Yds | Oct 25 · projected 113.5 | 113.5 | 86.5% | 53.5% |
| Over 40.5 Rush Yds | Oct 25 · projected 93.3 | 93.3 | 71.5% | 50.0% |
| Over 9.5 Rush Att | Oct 25 · projected 19.7 | 19.7 | 73.0% | 55.6% |
| Under 52.5 Rec Yds | Sep 27 · projected 12.7 | 12.7 | 99.2% | 98.9% |
- Over 43.5 Rush+Rec YdsNov 9 · projected 59.0
- Model
- 61.1%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 34.5 Rush YdsNov 9 · projected 43.7
- Model
- 50.7%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 41.5 Rush+Rec YdsNov 1 · projected 88.2
- Model
- 83.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 29.5 Rush YdsNov 1 · projected 71.8
- Model
- 68.3%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 7.5 Rush AttNov 1 · projected 16.1
- Model
- 75.3%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 57.5 Rush+Rec YdsOct 25 · projected 113.5
- Model
- 86.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 40.5 Rush YdsOct 25 · projected 93.3
- Model
- 71.5%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 9.5 Rush AttOct 25 · projected 19.7
- Model
- 73.0%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 52.5 Rec YdsSep 27 · projected 12.7
- Model
- 99.2%
- Book
- 98.9%
Frequently asked questions
What is Aaron Jones Sr. averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Aaron Jones Sr. is averaging 51.1 rush yds, 0.2 rush td, 2.2 rec, 14.7 rec yds.
How did Aaron Jones Sr. play in the last game?
On Monday, November 9, 2026 vs BUF, Aaron Jones Sr. recorded 16 rush yds, 0 rush td, 1 rec, 5 rec yds.
Every Aaron Jones Sr. line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).