EdgeGoat
Aaron Jones Sr.
Minnesota Vikings · #33 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 12.7 | 12.7 | 99.2% | 98.9% | won(34) |
| Under 14.5 rushAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 10.7 | 10.7 | 63.6% | 51.2% | lost(15) |
| Under 81.5 rushRecYards | Sep 20 · projected 68.3 | 68.3 | 56.0% | 53.5% | lost(85) |
| Under 2.5 receptions | Sep 20 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 66.5% | 51.2% | won(0) |
| Under 8.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 7.6 | 7.6 | 60.8% | 52.4% | lost(9) |
- Under 52.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 12.7won(34)
- Model
- 99.2%
- Book
- 98.9%
- Under 14.5 rushAttemptsSep 20 · projected 10.7lost(15)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 81.5 rushRecYardsSep 20 · projected 68.3lost(85)
- Model
- 56.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 2.5 receptionsSep 20 · projected 1.6won(0)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 8.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 7.6lost(9)
- Model
- 60.8%
- Book
- 52.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Aaron Jones Sr.'s props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Aaron Jones Sr., 2 won and 3 lost.
Every Aaron Jones Sr. line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).