EdgeGoat
AJ Dillon
Carolina Panthers · #28 · 11 games logged
Rush Yds · last 119.4
Rec · last 110.5
Rec Yds · last 112.2
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | Rush Yds | Rec | Rec Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vs DET | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Sep 27 | @ CLE | 16 | 1 | -2 |
| Sep 20 | @ ATL | -3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vs CHI | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 4 | vs WSH | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Oct 9 | @ NYG | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| Oct 5 | vs DEN | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 28 | @ TB | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 21 | vs LAR | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | @ KC | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 4 | vs DAL | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 16.5 Rush Yds | Oct 4 · projected 23.3 | 23.3 | 49.7% | 42.6% |
| Under 64.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 15.1 | 15.1 | 99.6% | 99.0% |
- Over 16.5 Rush YdsOct 4 · projected 23.3
- Model
- 49.7%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Under 64.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 15.1
- Model
- 99.6%
- Book
- 99.0%
Frequently asked questions
What is AJ Dillon averaging over the last 11 games?
Across the last 11 logged games, AJ Dillon is averaging 9.4 rush yds, 0.5 rec, 2.2 rec yds.
How did AJ Dillon play in the last game?
On Sunday, October 4, 2026 vs DET, AJ Dillon recorded 2 rush yds, 1 rec, 5 rec yds.
Every AJ Dillon line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).