EdgeGoat
Baker Mayfield
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · #6 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 passAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 30.5 | 30.5 | 61.1% | 54.5% | won(28) |
| Under 20.5 passCompletions | Sep 13 · projected 18.5 | 18.5 | 54.8% | 52.4% | lost(21) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 57.4% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
- Over 27.5 passAttemptsSep 20 · projected 30.5won(28)
- Model
- 61.1%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 20.5 passCompletionsSep 13 · projected 18.5lost(21)
- Model
- 54.8%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 13 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 51.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Baker Mayfield's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Baker Mayfield, 1 won and 2 lost.
Every Baker Mayfield line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).