EdgeGoat
Bijan Robinson
Atlanta Falcons · #7 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bijan Robinson | Under 4.5 RecATL @ NO | 61.4% | 54.5%−120 | +6.8% |
- Under 4.5 RecATL @ NO+6.8%
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 122.5 rushRecYards | Sep 24 · projected 103.7 | 103.7 | 56.1% | 53.5% | lost(125) |
| Under 4.5 Rec | Sep 13 · projected 3.7 | 3.7 | 59.7% | 56.5% | lost(5) |
- Under 122.5 rushRecYardsSep 24 · projected 103.7lost(125)
- Model
- 56.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 4.5 RecSep 13 · projected 3.7lost(5)
- Model
- 59.7%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Bijan Robinson today?
The strongest current line: Bijan Robinson under 4.5 rec (−120): model 61.4% vs book 54.5%, an edge of +6.8%.
How has the model done on Bijan Robinson's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Bijan Robinson, 0 won and 2 lost.
Every Bijan Robinson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).