EdgeGoat
Brian Thomas Jr.
Jacksonville Jaguars · #7 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 109.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 34.2 | 34.2 | 99.1% | 99.0% | won(8) |
| Under 2.5 receptions | Sep 20 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 66.5% | 51.2% | lost(3) |
| Under 2.5 receptions | Sep 13 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 60.1% | 43.5% | lost(3) |
- Under 109.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 34.2won(8)
- Model
- 99.1%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 2.5 receptionsSep 20 · projected 1.8lost(3)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 2.5 receptionsSep 13 · projected 1.9lost(3)
- Model
- 60.1%
- Book
- 43.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Brian Thomas Jr.'s props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Brian Thomas Jr., 1 won and 2 lost.
Every Brian Thomas Jr. line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).