EdgeGoat
Caleb Williams
Chicago Bears · #18 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 rushAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 3.0 | 3.0 | 63.6% | 48.8% | lost(5) |
| Over 1.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 94.9% | 85.7% | won(2) |
| Under 19.5 passCompletions | Sep 13 · projected 18.1 | 18.1 | 59.0% | 51.2% | lost(20) |
- Under 4.5 rushAttemptsSep 20 · projected 3.0lost(5)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 3.4won(2)
- Model
- 94.9%
- Book
- 85.7%
- Under 19.5 passCompletionsSep 13 · projected 18.1lost(20)
- Model
- 59.0%
- Book
- 51.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Caleb Williams's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Caleb Williams, 1 won and 2 lost.
Every Caleb Williams line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).