EdgeGoat
Cam Ward
Tennessee Titans · #1 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cam Ward | Under 9.5 Rush YdsTEN @ BAL | 71.6% | 52.4%−110 | +19.2% |
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 201.5 passYards | Sep 27 · projected 219.1 | 219.1 | 50.8% | 38.5% | lost(181) |
| Under 60.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 16.6 | 16.6 | 99.5% | 99.5% | won(2) |
| Over 18.5 passCompletions | Sep 20 · projected 20.8 | 20.8 | 61.7% | 53.5% | lost(13) |
| Over 0.5 passTDs | Sep 20 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 78.2% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
- Over 201.5 passYardsSep 27 · projected 219.1lost(181)
- Model
- 50.8%
- Book
- 38.5%
- Under 60.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 16.6won(2)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 99.5%
- Over 18.5 passCompletionsSep 20 · projected 20.8lost(13)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 passTDsSep 20 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 78.2%
- Book
- 66.7%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Cam Ward today?
The strongest current line: Cam Ward under 9.5 rush yds (−110): model 71.6% vs book 52.4%, an edge of +19.2%.
How has the model done on Cam Ward's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Cam Ward, 1 won and 3 lost.
Every Cam Ward line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).