EdgeGoat
C.J. Stroud
Houston Texans · #7 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 C.J. Stroud | Under 16.5 Rush YdsDAL @ HOU | 68.7% | 67.7%−210 | +1.0% |
- Under 16.5 Rush YdsDAL @ HOU+1.0%
- Model
- 68.7%
- Book
- 67.7%−210
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 12.6 | 12.6 | 98.8% | 97.6% | won(10) |
| Over 30.5 passAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 33.6 | 33.6 | 57.5% | 54.5% | won(31) |
| Over 19.5 passCompletions | Sep 20 · projected 22.6 | 22.6 | 56.5% | 54.5% | won(20) |
| Over 31.5 passAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 33.8 | 33.8 | 88.0% | 54.5% | won(32) |
| Over 19.5 passCompletions | Sep 13 · projected 23.0 | 23.0 | 57.4% | 55.6% | won(20) |
- Under 46.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 12.6won(10)
- Model
- 98.8%
- Book
- 97.6%
- Over 30.5 passAttemptsSep 20 · projected 33.6won(31)
- Model
- 57.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 19.5 passCompletionsSep 20 · projected 22.6won(20)
- Model
- 56.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 31.5 passAttemptsSep 13 · projected 33.8won(32)
- Model
- 88.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 19.5 passCompletionsSep 13 · projected 23.0won(20)
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 55.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about C.J. Stroud today?
The strongest current line: C.J. Stroud under 16.5 rush yds (−210): model 68.7% vs book 67.7%, an edge of +1.0%.
How has the model done on C.J. Stroud's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on C.J. Stroud, 5 won and 0 lost.
Every C.J. Stroud line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).