EdgeGoat
Dak Prescott
Dallas Cowboys · #4 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dak Prescott | Under 24.5 CompDAL @ HOU | 68.6% | 53.5%−115 | +15.1% |
| Dak Prescott | Under 273.5 Pass YdsDAL @ HOU | 61.8% | 53.5%−115 | +8.3% |
| Dak Prescott | Over 13.5 Rush YdsDAL @ HOU | 51.7% | 43.5%+130 | +8.2% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 22.5 Comp | Sep 20 · projected 20.4 | 20.4 | 71.9% | 53.5% | lost(23) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 59.0% | 51.2% | won(1) |
| Under 22.5 Comp | Sep 13 · projected 19.5 | 19.5 | 83.0% | 52.4% | won(22) |
- Under 22.5 CompSep 20 · projected 20.4lost(23)
- Model
- 71.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 13 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 59.0%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 22.5 CompSep 13 · projected 19.5won(22)
- Model
- 83.0%
- Book
- 52.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Dak Prescott today?
The strongest current line: Dak Prescott under 24.5 comp (−115): model 68.6% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +15.1%.
How has the model done on Dak Prescott's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Dak Prescott, 2 won and 1 lost.
Every Dak Prescott line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).