EdgeGoat
Dalton Kincaid
Buffalo Bills · #86 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dalton Kincaid | Under 4.5 RecNE @ BUF | 60.5% | 53.5%−115 | +7.0% |
- Under 4.5 RecNE @ BUF+7.0%
- Model
- 60.5%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 145.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 57.5 | 57.5 | 99.1% | 99.0% | won(38) |
| Under 3.5 Rec | Sep 13 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 66.5% | 55.6% | lost(4) |
- Under 145.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 57.5won(38)
- Model
- 99.1%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 3.5 RecSep 13 · projected 2.1lost(4)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 55.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Dalton Kincaid today?
The strongest current line: Dalton Kincaid under 4.5 rec (−115): model 60.5% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +7.0%.
How has the model done on Dalton Kincaid's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Dalton Kincaid, 1 won and 1 lost.
Every Dalton Kincaid line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).