EdgeGoat
Daniel Jones
Indianapolis Colts · #17 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Daniel Jones | Under 11.5 Rush YdsIND @ WSH | 70.5% | 53.5%−115 | +17.0% |
| Daniel Jones | Over 226.5 Pass YdsIND @ WSH | 59.6% | 52.4%−110 | +7.2% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 218.5 Pass Yds | Sep 27 · projected 238.1 | 238.1 | 50.8% | 48.8% | won(235) |
| Under 52.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 9.3 | 9.3 | 99.8% | 98.9% | won(5) |
| Under 21.5 passCompletions | Sep 20 · projected 18.3 | 18.3 | 64.6% | 56.5% | lost(22) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 63.2% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Under 3.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 58.8% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 53.0% | 51.2% | won(1) |
| Under 21.5 passCompletions | Sep 13 · projected 20.0 | 20.0 | 59.0% | 52.4% | won(19) |
- Over 218.5 Pass YdsSep 27 · projected 238.1won(235)
- Model
- 50.8%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 52.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 9.3won(5)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 98.9%
- Under 21.5 passCompletionsSep 20 · projected 18.3lost(22)
- Model
- 64.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 63.2%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 3.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 2.7won(1)
- Model
- 58.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 13 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 53.0%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 21.5 passCompletionsSep 13 · projected 20.0won(19)
- Model
- 59.0%
- Book
- 52.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Daniel Jones today?
The strongest current line: Daniel Jones under 11.5 rush yds (−115): model 70.5% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +17.0%.
How has the model done on Daniel Jones's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Daniel Jones, 6 won and 1 lost.
Every Daniel Jones line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).