EdgeGoat
Davante Adams
Los Angeles Rams · #17 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Davante Adams | Under 4.5 RecLAR @ PHI | 61.4% | 44.4%+125 | +17.0% |
| Davante Adams | Under 74.5 Rec YdsLAR @ PHI | 56.7% | 53.5%−115 | +3.2% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 Rec | Sep 27 · projected 4.4 | 4.4 | 59.4% | 50.0% | lost(6) |
| Under 4.5 Rec | Sep 21 · projected 2.9 | 2.9 | 62.6% | 58.3% | lost(5) |
| Under 4.5 Rec | Sep 10 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 66.5% | 55.6% | won(3) |
| Under 31.5 Rec Yds | Sep 10 · projected 22.1 | 22.1 | 55.6% | 29.4% | won(26) |
- Under 5.5 RecSep 27 · projected 4.4lost(6)
- Model
- 59.4%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 4.5 RecSep 21 · projected 2.9lost(5)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 4.5 RecSep 10 · projected 2.0won(3)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 31.5 Rec YdsSep 10 · projected 22.1won(26)
- Model
- 55.6%
- Book
- 29.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Davante Adams today?
The strongest current line: Davante Adams under 4.5 rec (+125): model 61.4% vs book 44.4%, an edge of +17.0%.
How has the model done on Davante Adams's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Davante Adams, 2 won and 2 lost.
Every Davante Adams line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).