EdgeGoat
David Montgomery
Houston Texans · #32 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Montgomery | Under 53.5 Rush YdsDAL @ HOU | 65.6% | 57.4%−135 | +8.1% |
| David Montgomery | Under 12.5 CarriesDAL @ HOU | 57.5% | 52.4%−110 | +5.1% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 14.6 | 14.6 | 99.3% | 98.4% | won(15) |
| Under 15.5 Carries | Sep 20 · projected 11.7 | 11.7 | 63.2% | 53.5% | won(6) |
| Under 13.5 Carries | Sep 13 · projected 8.3 | 8.3 | 70.5% | 54.5% | lost(14) |
| Under 71.5 rushRecYards | Sep 13 · projected 37.4 | 37.4 | 82.5% | 53.5% | lost(78) |
- Under 57.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 14.6won(15)
- Model
- 99.3%
- Book
- 98.4%
- Under 15.5 CarriesSep 20 · projected 11.7won(6)
- Model
- 63.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 13.5 CarriesSep 13 · projected 8.3lost(14)
- Model
- 70.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 71.5 rushRecYardsSep 13 · projected 37.4lost(78)
- Model
- 82.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about David Montgomery today?
The strongest current line: David Montgomery under 53.5 rush yds (−135): model 65.6% vs book 57.4%, an edge of +8.1%.
How has the model done on David Montgomery's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on David Montgomery, 2 won and 2 lost.
Every David Montgomery line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).