EdgeGoat
Derrick Henry
Baltimore Ravens · #22 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derrick Henry | Over 0.5 Anytime TDTEN @ BAL | 77.4% | 69.2%−225 | +8.2% |
- Over 0.5 Anytime TDTEN @ BAL+8.2%
- Model
- 77.4%
- Book
- 69.2%−225
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 rushAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 18.4 | 18.4 | 59.9% | 56.5% | won(16) |
- Under 20.5 rushAttemptsSep 20 · projected 18.4won(16)
- Model
- 59.9%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Derrick Henry today?
The strongest current line: Derrick Henry over 0.5 anytime td (−225): model 77.4% vs book 69.2%, an edge of +8.2%.
How has the model done on Derrick Henry's props?
Across the last 1 graded model lines on Derrick Henry, 1 won and 0 lost.
Every Derrick Henry line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).