EdgeGoat
Deshaun Watson
Cleveland Browns · #4 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 25.5 rushYards | Sep 27 · projected 21.0 | 21.0 | 57.4% | 53.5% | lost(45) |
| Over 197.5 passYards | Sep 27 · projected 215.7 | 215.7 | 50.8% | 47.6% | lost(144) |
| Under 5.5 rushAttempts | Sep 27 · projected 4.6 | 4.6 | 58.8% | 51.2% | lost(6) |
- Under 25.5 rushYardsSep 27 · projected 21.0lost(45)
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 197.5 passYardsSep 27 · projected 215.7lost(144)
- Model
- 50.8%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Under 5.5 rushAttemptsSep 27 · projected 4.6lost(6)
- Model
- 58.8%
- Book
- 51.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Deshaun Watson's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Deshaun Watson, 0 won and 3 lost.
Every Deshaun Watson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).