EdgeGoat
DeVonta Smith
Philadelphia Eagles · #6 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 DeVonta Smith | Under 5.5 RecLAR @ PHI | 60.8% | 47.6%+110 | +13.2% |
- Under 5.5 RecLAR @ PHI+13.2%
- Model
- 60.8%
- Book
- 47.6%+110
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 Rec | Sep 20 · projected 3.8 | 3.8 | 59.5% | 48.8% | lost(5) |
| Under 5.5 Rec | Sep 13 · projected 3.8 | 3.8 | 65.6% | 58.3% | pending |
- Under 4.5 RecSep 20 · projected 3.8lost(5)
- Model
- 59.5%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 5.5 RecSep 13 · projected 3.8pending
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 58.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about DeVonta Smith today?
The strongest current line: DeVonta Smith under 5.5 rec (+110): model 60.8% vs book 47.6%, an edge of +13.2%.
How has the model done on DeVonta Smith's props?
Across the last 1 graded model lines on DeVonta Smith, 0 won and 1 lost.
Every DeVonta Smith line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).