EdgeGoat
Drake Maye
New England Patriots · #10 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Drake Maye | Under 30.5 Pass AttNE @ BUF | 61.6% | 51.2%−105 | +10.4% |
| Drake Maye | Under 235.5 Pass YdsNE @ BUF | 62.9% | 56.5%−130 | +6.4% |
| Drake Maye | Under 30.5 Rush YdsNE @ BUF | 67.2% | 62.3%−165 | +5.0% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 55.7% | 52.4% | won(1) |
| Under 79.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 26.5 | 26.5 | 99.3% | 99.0% | won(18) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 51.5% | 46.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 9 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 57.4% | 53.5% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 27 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 55.7%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 79.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 26.5won(18)
- Model
- 99.3%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 51.5%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 9 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Drake Maye today?
The strongest current line: Drake Maye under 30.5 pass att (−105): model 61.6% vs book 51.2%, an edge of +10.4%.
How has the model done on Drake Maye's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Drake Maye, 4 won and 0 lost.
Every Drake Maye line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).