EdgeGoat
Evan Engram
Denver Broncos · #1 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Evan Engram | Under 2.5 RecDEN @ SF | 61.0% | 56.5%−130 | +4.5% |
- Under 2.5 RecDEN @ SF+4.5%
- Model
- 61.0%
- Book
- 56.5%−130
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 61.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 19.0 | 19.0 | 97.5% | 96.2% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 Rec | Sep 27 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 59.4% | 52.4% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 Rec | Sep 14 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 57.7% | 50.0% | lost(3) |
- Under 61.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 19.0won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 96.2%
- Under 2.5 RecSep 27 · projected 1.9won(0)
- Model
- 59.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 2.5 RecSep 14 · projected 1.9lost(3)
- Model
- 57.7%
- Book
- 50.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Evan Engram today?
The strongest current line: Evan Engram under 2.5 rec (−130): model 61.0% vs book 56.5%, an edge of +4.5%.
How has the model done on Evan Engram's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Evan Engram, 2 won and 1 lost.
Every Evan Engram line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).