EdgeGoat
Geno Smith
New York Jets · #7 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 40.5 rushYards | Sep 27 · projected 9.9 | 9.9 | 99.0% | 98.0% | won(12) |
| Over 0.5 passTDs | Sep 20 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 79.3% | 76.5% | won(1) |
| Under 20.5 passCompletions | Sep 20 · projected 18.1 | 18.1 | 72.5% | 55.6% | lost(21) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 55.4% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
- Under 40.5 rushYardsSep 27 · projected 9.9won(12)
- Model
- 99.0%
- Book
- 98.0%
- Over 0.5 passTDsSep 20 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 79.3%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 20.5 passCompletionsSep 20 · projected 18.1lost(21)
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 20 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 55.4%
- Book
- 51.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Geno Smith's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Geno Smith, 2 won and 2 lost.
Every Geno Smith line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).