EdgeGoat
George Kittle
San Francisco 49ers · #85 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 George Kittle | Under 64.5 Rec YdsDEN @ SF | 57.4% | 53.5%−115 | +3.9% |
- Under 64.5 Rec YdsDEN @ SF+3.9%
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 receptions | Sep 10 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 59.3% | 48.8% | won(2) |
| Under 72.5 Rec Yds | Sep 10 · projected 30.8 | 30.8 | 93.3% | 87.5% | won(12) |
- Under 3.5 receptionsSep 10 · projected 2.7won(2)
- Model
- 59.3%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 72.5 Rec YdsSep 10 · projected 30.8won(12)
- Model
- 93.3%
- Book
- 87.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about George Kittle today?
The strongest current line: George Kittle under 64.5 rec yds (−115): model 57.4% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +3.9%.
How has the model done on George Kittle's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on George Kittle, 2 won and 0 lost.
Every George Kittle line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).