EdgeGoat
Jahmyr Gibbs
Detroit Lions · #0 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jahmyr Gibbs | Under 105.5 Rush YdsDET @ CAR | 64.6% | 63.0%−170 | +1.6% |
- Under 105.5 Rush YdsDET @ CAR+1.6%
- Model
- 64.6%
- Book
- 63.0%−170
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 108.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 34.6 | 34.6 | 99.7% | 99.5% | won(65) |
| Under 193.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 85.5 | 85.5 | 99.2% | 99.0% | won(99) |
| Under 18.5 rushAttempts | Sep 17 · projected 16.3 | 16.3 | 55.2% | 50.0% | won(16) |
| Under 124.5 rushRecYards | Sep 17 · projected 109.9 | 109.9 | 56.0% | 53.5% | won(113) |
| Under 18.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 13.5 | 13.5 | 63.7% | 51.2% | lost(19) |
| Under 121.5 rushRecYards | Sep 13 · projected 93.8 | 93.8 | 58.6% | 53.5% | lost(132) |
- Under 108.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 34.6won(65)
- Model
- 99.7%
- Book
- 99.5%
- Under 193.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 85.5won(99)
- Model
- 99.2%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 18.5 rushAttemptsSep 17 · projected 16.3won(16)
- Model
- 55.2%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 124.5 rushRecYardsSep 17 · projected 109.9won(113)
- Model
- 56.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 18.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 13.5lost(19)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 121.5 rushRecYardsSep 13 · projected 93.8lost(132)
- Model
- 58.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jahmyr Gibbs today?
The strongest current line: Jahmyr Gibbs under 105.5 rush yds (−170): model 64.6% vs book 63.0%, an edge of +1.6%.
How has the model done on Jahmyr Gibbs's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on Jahmyr Gibbs, 4 won and 2 lost.
Every Jahmyr Gibbs line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).