EdgeGoat
Jalen Hurts
Philadelphia Eagles · #1 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jalen Hurts | Under 20.5 Rush YdsLAR @ PHI | 67.8% | 44.4%+125 | +23.4% |
| Jalen Hurts | Under 18.5 CompLAR @ PHI | 62.2% | 51.2%−105 | +11.0% |
| Jalen Hurts | Under 212.5 Pass YdsLAR @ PHI | 63.1% | 60.0%−150 | +3.1% |
| Jalen Hurts | Under 230.5 Pass+Rush YdsLAR @ PHI | 54.0% | 53.5%−115 | +0.5% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 rushAttempts | Sep 28 · projected 5.7 | 5.7 | 58.7% | 51.2% | won(4) |
| Under 80.5 Rush Yds | Sep 28 · projected 24.0 | 24.0 | 99.8% | 99.3% | won(25) |
| Over 28.5 passAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 30.5 | 30.5 | 53.9% | 52.4% | pending |
| Under 7.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 4.0 | 4.0 | 61.6% | 55.6% | pending |
- Under 6.5 rushAttemptsSep 28 · projected 5.7won(4)
- Model
- 58.7%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 80.5 Rush YdsSep 28 · projected 24.0won(25)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 99.3%
- Over 28.5 passAttemptsSep 13 · projected 30.5pending
- Model
- 53.9%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 7.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 4.0pending
- Model
- 61.6%
- Book
- 55.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jalen Hurts today?
The strongest current line: Jalen Hurts under 20.5 rush yds (+125): model 67.8% vs book 44.4%, an edge of +23.4%.
How has the model done on Jalen Hurts's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Jalen Hurts, 2 won and 0 lost.
Every Jalen Hurts line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).