EdgeGoat
Ja'Marr Chase
Cincinnati Bengals · #1 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 receptions | Sep 27 · projected 5.7 | 5.7 | 59.3% | 52.4% | lost(7) |
| Under 77.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 65.6 | 65.6 | 55.7% | 53.5% | lost(98) |
| Under 6.5 receptions | Sep 20 · projected 5.3 | 5.3 | 56.9% | 53.5% | lost(7) |
- Under 6.5 receptionsSep 27 · projected 5.7lost(7)
- Model
- 59.3%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 77.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 65.6lost(98)
- Model
- 55.7%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 6.5 receptionsSep 20 · projected 5.3lost(7)
- Model
- 56.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Ja'Marr Chase's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Ja'Marr Chase, 0 won and 3 lost.
Every Ja'Marr Chase line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).