EdgeGoat
James Cook III
Buffalo Bills · #4 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Cook III | Over 8.5 Rec YdsNE @ BUF | 47.7% | 46.5%+115 | +1.2% |
- Over 8.5 Rec YdsNE @ BUF+1.2%
- Model
- 47.7%
- Book
- 46.5%+115
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 rushAttempts | Sep 17 · projected 13.7 | 13.7 | 61.8% | 50.0% | lost(18) |
| Under 2.5 receptions | Sep 13 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 59.2% | 48.8% | lost(3) |
| Under 17.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 15.5 | 15.5 | 60.6% | 56.5% | won(13) |
| Under 100.5 rushRecYards | Sep 13 · projected 83.0 | 83.0 | 56.1% | 53.5% | won(69) |
- Under 17.5 rushAttemptsSep 17 · projected 13.7lost(18)
- Model
- 61.8%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 2.5 receptionsSep 13 · projected 1.9lost(3)
- Model
- 59.2%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 17.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 15.5won(13)
- Model
- 60.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 100.5 rushRecYardsSep 13 · projected 83.0won(69)
- Model
- 56.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about James Cook III today?
The strongest current line: James Cook III over 8.5 rec yds (+115): model 47.7% vs book 46.5%, an edge of +1.2%.
How has the model done on James Cook III's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on James Cook III, 2 won and 2 lost.
Every James Cook III line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).