EdgeGoat
Jaylen Waddle
Denver Broncos · #17 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jaylen Waddle | Under 4.5 RecDEN @ SF | 61.7% | 56.5%−130 | +5.1% |
- Under 4.5 RecDEN @ SF+5.1%
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 56.5%−130
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 Rec | Sep 20 · projected 3.3 | 3.3 | 59.4% | 59.2% | lost(5) |
| Under 4.5 Rec | Sep 14 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 66.5% | 52.4% | won(1) |
- Under 4.5 RecSep 20 · projected 3.3lost(5)
- Model
- 59.4%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 4.5 RecSep 14 · projected 2.7won(1)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 52.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jaylen Waddle today?
The strongest current line: Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 rec (−130): model 61.7% vs book 56.5%, an edge of +5.1%.
How has the model done on Jaylen Waddle's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Jaylen Waddle, 1 won and 1 lost.
Every Jaylen Waddle line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).