EdgeGoat
Jaylen Warren
Pittsburgh Steelers · #30 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jaylen Warren | Under 95.5 Rush+Rec YdsPIT @ CLE | 68.1% | 53.5%−115 | +14.6% |
| Jaylen Warren | Under 74.5 Rush YdsPIT @ CLE | 67.3% | 60.8%−155 | +6.6% |
| Jaylen Warren | Under 3.5 RecPIT @ CLE | 60.8% | 59.2%−145 | +1.6% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 84.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 26.4 | 26.4 | 99.3% | 98.9% | won(49) |
| Under 57.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 49.4 | 49.4 | 57.4% | 53.5% | lost(127) |
| Under 10.5 rushAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 8.5 | 8.5 | 61.7% | 51.2% | lost(11) |
| Under 67.5 Rush+Rec Yds | Sep 20 · projected 44.8 | 44.8 | 63.5% | 53.5% | lost(72) |
| Under 11.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 8.1 | 8.1 | 58.9% | 55.6% | won(10) |
| Under 2.5 Rec | Sep 13 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 59.7% | 50.0% | lost(3) |
| Under 64.5 Rush+Rec Yds | Sep 13 · projected 38.8 | 38.8 | 70.9% | 53.5% | lost(65) |
- Under 84.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 26.4won(49)
- Model
- 99.3%
- Book
- 98.9%
- Under 57.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 49.4lost(127)
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 10.5 rushAttemptsSep 20 · projected 8.5lost(11)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 67.5 Rush+Rec YdsSep 20 · projected 44.8lost(72)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 11.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 8.1won(10)
- Model
- 58.9%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 2.5 RecSep 13 · projected 1.4lost(3)
- Model
- 59.7%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 64.5 Rush+Rec YdsSep 13 · projected 38.8lost(65)
- Model
- 70.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jaylen Warren today?
The strongest current line: Jaylen Warren under 95.5 rush+rec yds (−115): model 68.1% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +14.6%.
How has the model done on Jaylen Warren's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Jaylen Warren, 2 won and 5 lost.
Every Jaylen Warren line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).