EdgeGoat
J.K. Dobbins
Denver Broncos · #27 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 J.K. Dobbins | Under 60.5 Rush YdsDEN @ SF | 65.2% | 53.5%−115 | +11.7% |
- Under 60.5 Rush YdsDEN @ SF+11.7%
- Model
- 65.2%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 rushAttempts | Sep 27 · projected 11.2 | 11.2 | 58.7% | 51.2% | lost(13) |
| Under 16.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 2.8 | 2.8 | 95.7% | 84.6% | won(4) |
| Under 53.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 45.5 | 45.5 | 57.4% | 56.5% | won(49) |
| Under 13.5 rushAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 11.1 | 11.1 | 61.7% | 54.5% | won(10) |
| Under 12.5 rushAttempts | Sep 14 · projected 8.3 | 8.3 | 64.0% | 54.5% | won(8) |
| Under 58.5 rushRecYards | Sep 14 · projected 32.5 | 32.5 | 74.8% | 53.5% | won(36) |
- Under 12.5 rushAttemptsSep 27 · projected 11.2lost(13)
- Model
- 58.7%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 16.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 2.8won(4)
- Model
- 95.7%
- Book
- 84.6%
- Under 53.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 45.5won(49)
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 13.5 rushAttemptsSep 20 · projected 11.1won(10)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 12.5 rushAttemptsSep 14 · projected 8.3won(8)
- Model
- 64.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 58.5 rushRecYardsSep 14 · projected 32.5won(36)
- Model
- 74.8%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about J.K. Dobbins today?
The strongest current line: J.K. Dobbins under 60.5 rush yds (−115): model 65.2% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +11.7%.
How has the model done on J.K. Dobbins's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on J.K. Dobbins, 5 won and 1 lost.
Every J.K. Dobbins line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).