EdgeGoat
Joe Burrow
Cincinnati Bengals · #9 · 16 games logged
Pass Yds · last 16262.2
Pass TD · last 162.5
INT · last 160.7
Rush Yds · last 167.4
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ATL | 271 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Nov 1 | vs TEN | 462 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 25 | @ BAL | 292 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 11 | @ MIA | 190 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 4 | vs JAX | 428 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 27 | @ PIT | 282 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | @ HOU | 207 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vs TB | 254 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 4 | vs CLE | 236 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 28 | vs ARI | 305 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 21 | @ MIA | 309 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 14 | vs BAL | 225 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 7 | @ BUF | 284 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 27 | @ BAL | 261 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | vs JAX | 76 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 7 | @ CLE | 113 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 Rush Yds | Oct 11 · projected 6.9 | 6.9 | 62.2% | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 Pass TD | Oct 11 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 73.1% | 72.2% |
| Over 32.5 Pass Att | Oct 11 · projected 35.2 | 35.2 | 61.8% | 55.6% |
| Under 44.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 10.0 | 10.0 | 99.6% | 98.8% |
| Under 23.5 Comp | Sep 27 · projected 20.3 | 20.3 | 59.5% | 53.5% |
| Under 35.5 Pass Att | Sep 27 · projected 32.9 | 32.9 | 56.2% | 54.5% |
- Under 9.5 Rush YdsOct 11 · projected 6.9
- Model
- 62.2%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 2.5 Pass TDOct 11 · projected 1.8
- Model
- 73.1%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 32.5 Pass AttOct 11 · projected 35.2
- Model
- 61.8%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 44.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 10.0
- Model
- 99.6%
- Book
- 98.8%
- Under 23.5 CompSep 27 · projected 20.3
- Model
- 59.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 35.5 Pass AttSep 27 · projected 32.9
- Model
- 56.2%
- Book
- 54.5%
Frequently asked questions
What is Joe Burrow averaging over the last 16 games?
Across the last 16 logged games, Joe Burrow is averaging 262.2 pass yds, 2.5 pass td, 0.7 int, 7.4 rush yds.
How did Joe Burrow play in the last game?
On Sunday, November 8, 2026 vs ATL, Joe Burrow recorded 271 pass yds, 3 pass td, 0 int, 7 rush yds.
Every Joe Burrow line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).