EdgeGoat
Joe Burrow
Cincinnati Bengals · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 rushYards | Sep 27 · projected 10.0 | 10.0 | 99.6% | 98.8% | won(13) |
| Under 35.5 passAttempts | Sep 27 · projected 32.9 | 32.9 | 56.2% | 54.5% | lost(36) |
| Under 23.5 passCompletions | Sep 27 · projected 20.3 | 20.3 | 59.5% | 53.5% | lost(24) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 49.0% | 45.5% | won(1) |
| Under 24.5 passCompletions | Sep 13 · projected 22.7 | 22.7 | 59.1% | 53.5% | lost(25) |
| Under 2.5 passTDs | Sep 13 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 80.0% | 69.2% | won(1) |
- Under 44.5 rushYardsSep 27 · projected 10.0won(13)
- Model
- 99.6%
- Book
- 98.8%
- Under 35.5 passAttemptsSep 27 · projected 32.9lost(36)
- Model
- 56.2%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 23.5 passCompletionsSep 27 · projected 20.3lost(24)
- Model
- 59.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 13 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 49.0%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Under 24.5 passCompletionsSep 13 · projected 22.7lost(25)
- Model
- 59.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 2.5 passTDsSep 13 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 80.0%
- Book
- 69.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Joe Burrow's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on Joe Burrow, 3 won and 3 lost.
Every Joe Burrow line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).