EdgeGoat
Jonathan Taylor
Indianapolis Colts · #28 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonathan Taylor | Under 114.5 Rush+Rec YdsIND @ WSH | 68.5% | 53.5%−115 | +15.0% |
| Jonathan Taylor | Under 90.5 Rush YdsIND @ WSH | 63.8% | 53.5%−115 | +10.3% |
| Jonathan Taylor | Over 0.5 Anytime TDIND @ WSH | 75.7% | 75.0%−300 | +0.7% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 189.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 83.8 | 83.8 | 99.2% | 99.0% | won(68) |
| Under 88.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 24.0 | 24.0 | 99.8% | 99.5% | won(4) |
| Under 19.5 rushAttempts | Sep 27 · projected 17.6 | 17.6 | 58.6% | 53.5% | lost(20) |
| Under 107.5 Rush+Rec Yds | Sep 20 · projected 95.1 | 95.1 | 56.0% | 53.5% | lost(109) |
| Under 18.5 rushAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 16.3 | 16.3 | 59.6% | 51.2% | lost(19) |
| Under 97.5 Rush+Rec Yds | Sep 13 · projected 79.9 | 79.9 | 56.1% | 53.5% | lost(98) |
| Under 18.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 15.1 | 15.1 | 60.7% | 56.5% | lost(19) |
- Under 189.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 83.8won(68)
- Model
- 99.2%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 88.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 24.0won(4)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 99.5%
- Under 19.5 rushAttemptsSep 27 · projected 17.6lost(20)
- Model
- 58.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 107.5 Rush+Rec YdsSep 20 · projected 95.1lost(109)
- Model
- 56.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 18.5 rushAttemptsSep 20 · projected 16.3lost(19)
- Model
- 59.6%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 97.5 Rush+Rec YdsSep 13 · projected 79.9lost(98)
- Model
- 56.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 18.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 15.1lost(19)
- Model
- 60.7%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jonathan Taylor today?
The strongest current line: Jonathan Taylor under 114.5 rush+rec yds (−115): model 68.5% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +15.0%.
How has the model done on Jonathan Taylor's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Jonathan Taylor, 2 won and 5 lost.
Every Jonathan Taylor line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).