EdgeGoat
Josh Downs
Indianapolis Colts · #2 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Josh Downs | Under 5.5 RecIND @ WSH | 62.0% | 61.5%−160 | +0.4% |
- Under 5.5 RecIND @ WSH+0.4%
- Model
- 62.0%
- Book
- 61.5%−160
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 Rec | Sep 20 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 66.3% | 62.3% | lost(5) |
| Under 4.5 Rec | Sep 13 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 66.7% | 62.3% | won(2) |
- Under 4.5 RecSep 20 · projected 3.4lost(5)
- Model
- 66.3%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 4.5 RecSep 13 · projected 2.7won(2)
- Model
- 66.7%
- Book
- 62.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Josh Downs today?
The strongest current line: Josh Downs under 5.5 rec (−160): model 62.0% vs book 61.5%, an edge of +0.4%.
How has the model done on Josh Downs's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Josh Downs, 1 won and 1 lost.
Every Josh Downs line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).