EdgeGoat
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers · #10 · 25 games logged
Pass Yds · last 20212.4
Pass TD · last 201.2
INT · last 201
Rush Yds · last 2029.6
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HOU | 193 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 1 | @ LAR | 257 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18 | @ KC | 204 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 11 | vs DEN | 121 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 4 | @ SEA | 189 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @ BUF | 226 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | vs LV | 192 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vs ARI | 209 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 11 | @ NE | 159 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 27 | vs HOU | 236 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 21 | @ DAL | 300 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 1 |
| Dec 14 | @ KC | 210 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 8 | vs PHI | 139 | 1 | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 30 | vs LV | 151 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16 | @ JAX | 81 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 9 | vs PIT | 220 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | @ TEN | 250 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 23 | vs MIN | 227 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 19 | vs IND | 420 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 12 | @ MIA | 264 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 Pass TD | Nov 1 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.1% | 66.7% |
| Under 222.5 Pass+Rush Yds | Oct 18 · projected 187.6 | 187.6 | 70.4% | 53.5% |
| Under 26.5 Rush Yds | Oct 18 · projected 17.7 | 17.7 | 65.1% | 58.3% |
| Under 201.5 Pass Yds | Oct 18 · projected 169.9 | 169.9 | 69.6% | 58.3% |
| Under 18.5 Comp | Oct 18 · projected 16.7 | 16.7 | 64.5% | 53.5% |
| Under 30.5 Pass Att | Oct 18 · projected 27.9 | 27.9 | 64.1% | 52.4% |
| Under 24.5 Rush Yds | Oct 11 · projected 19.5 | 19.5 | 61.4% | 53.5% |
| Under 1.5 Pass TD | Oct 11 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 70.2% | 69.7% |
| Under 215.5 Pass Yds | Oct 11 · projected 195.5 | 195.5 | 62.9% | 62.3% |
| Under 223.5 Pass+Rush Yds | Oct 4 · projected 191.0 | 191.0 | 69.5% | 53.5% |
| Under 22.5 Rush Yds | Oct 4 · projected 18.3 | 18.3 | 60.9% | 58.3% |
| Under 190.5 Pass Yds | Oct 4 · projected 172.6 | 172.6 | 62.9% | 46.5% |
| Under 19.5 Comp | Oct 4 · projected 17.3 | 17.3 | 66.4% | 57.4% |
- Under 1.5 Pass TDNov 1 · projected 1.1
- Model
- 68.1%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 222.5 Pass+Rush YdsOct 18 · projected 187.6
- Model
- 70.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 26.5 Rush YdsOct 18 · projected 17.7
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 201.5 Pass YdsOct 18 · projected 169.9
- Model
- 69.6%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 18.5 CompOct 18 · projected 16.7
- Model
- 64.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 30.5 Pass AttOct 18 · projected 27.9
- Model
- 64.1%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 24.5 Rush YdsOct 11 · projected 19.5
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 Pass TDOct 11 · projected 1.1
- Model
- 70.2%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 215.5 Pass YdsOct 11 · projected 195.5
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 223.5 Pass+Rush YdsOct 4 · projected 191.0
- Model
- 69.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 22.5 Rush YdsOct 4 · projected 18.3
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 190.5 Pass YdsOct 4 · projected 172.6
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Under 19.5 CompOct 4 · projected 17.3
- Model
- 66.4%
- Book
- 57.4%
Frequently asked questions
What is Justin Herbert averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Justin Herbert is averaging 212.4 pass yds, 1.2 pass td, 1 int, 29.6 rush yds.
How did Justin Herbert play in the last game?
On Sunday, November 8, 2026 vs HOU, Justin Herbert recorded 193 pass yds, 1 pass td, 1 int, 7 rush yds.
Every Justin Herbert line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).