EdgeGoat
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers · #10 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Justin Herbert | Under 190.5 Pass YdsLAC @ SEA | 62.9% | 48.8%+105 | +14.2% |
- Under 190.5 Pass YdsLAC @ SEA+14.2%
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 48.8%+105
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 20 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 51.7% | 41.7% | won(1) |
| Over 29.5 passAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 31.8 | 31.8 | 56.1% | 54.5% | pending |
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 20 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 51.7%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 29.5 passAttemptsSep 13 · projected 31.8pending
- Model
- 56.1%
- Book
- 54.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Justin Herbert today?
The strongest current line: Justin Herbert under 190.5 pass yds (+105): model 62.9% vs book 48.8%, an edge of +14.2%.
How has the model done on Justin Herbert's props?
Across the last 1 graded model lines on Justin Herbert, 1 won and 0 lost.
Every Justin Herbert line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).