EdgeGoat
Justin Jefferson
Minnesota Vikings · #18 · 24 games logged
Rush Yds · last 20-0.4
Rec · last 204.7
Rec Yds · last 2055.8
Rec TD · last 200.3
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | Rush Yds | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs BUF | 0 | 3 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 1 | @ DET | 0 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 25 | vs IND | 0 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 11 | @ NO | -11 | 6 | 79 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 27 | @ TB | 0 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | @ CHI | 0 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vs GB | 0 | 8 | 92 | 2 | 2 |
| Jan 4 | vs GB | 3 | 8 | 101 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 25 | vs DET | 0 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 21 | @ NYG | 0 | 6 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 14 | @ DAL | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 7 | vs WSH | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 30 | @ SEA | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 23 | @ GB | 0 | 4 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16 | vs CHI | 0 | 5 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 9 | vs BAL | 0 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | @ DET | 0 | 6 | 47 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 23 | @ LAC | 0 | 7 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 19 | vs PHI | 0 | 5 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 5 | vs CLE | 0 | 7 | 123 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 86.5 Rec Yds | Nov 9 · projected 59.6 | 59.6 | 60.2% | 58.3% |
| Under 6.5 Rec | Nov 9 · projected 5.0 | 5.0 | 60.6% | 53.5% |
| Under 6.5 Rec | Nov 1 · projected 5.0 | 5.0 | 60.3% | 59.2% |
| Under 5.5 Rec | Oct 25 · projected 4.4 | 4.4 | 59.6% | 50.0% |
| Under 74.5 Rec Yds | Oct 11 · projected 63.3 | 63.3 | 54.7% | 48.8% |
| Under 5.5 Rec | Oct 11 · projected 4.8 | 4.8 | 58.2% | 42.6% |
- Under 86.5 Rec YdsNov 9 · projected 59.6
- Model
- 60.2%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 6.5 RecNov 9 · projected 5.0
- Model
- 60.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 6.5 RecNov 1 · projected 5.0
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 5.5 RecOct 25 · projected 4.4
- Model
- 59.6%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 74.5 Rec YdsOct 11 · projected 63.3
- Model
- 54.7%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 5.5 RecOct 11 · projected 4.8
- Model
- 58.2%
- Book
- 42.6%
Frequently asked questions
What is Justin Jefferson averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Justin Jefferson is averaging -0.4 rush yds, 4.7 rec, 55.8 rec yds, 0.3 rec td.
How did Justin Jefferson play in the last game?
On Monday, November 9, 2026 vs BUF, Justin Jefferson recorded 0 rush yds, 3 rec, 58 rec yds, 0 rec td.
Every Justin Jefferson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).