EdgeGoat
Justin Jefferson
Minnesota Vikings · #18 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 receptions | Sep 20 · projected 5.8 | 5.8 | 66.6% | 55.6% | won(3) |
| Under 5.5 receptions | Sep 13 · projected 4.4 | 4.4 | 65.3% | 46.5% | lost(6) |
- Under 6.5 receptionsSep 20 · projected 5.8won(3)
- Model
- 66.6%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 5.5 receptionsSep 13 · projected 4.4lost(6)
- Model
- 65.3%
- Book
- 46.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Justin Jefferson's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Justin Jefferson, 1 won and 1 lost.
Every Justin Jefferson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).