EdgeGoat
Kenneth Walker III
Kansas City Chiefs · #9 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kenneth Walker III | Under 92.5 Rush YdsKC @ LV | 64.4% | 58.3%−140 | +6.1% |
- Under 92.5 Rush YdsKC @ LV+6.1%
- Model
- 64.4%
- Book
- 58.3%−140
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 29.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 36.9 | 36.9 | 46.6% | 40.8% | lost(3) |
| Over 3.5 receptions | Sep 27 · projected 4.1 | 4.1 | 49.2% | 46.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 82.5 rushRecYards | Sep 14 · projected 65.5 | 65.5 | 56.2% | 53.5% | lost(99) |
| Under 15.5 rushAttempts | Sep 14 · projected 12.0 | 12.0 | 60.2% | 50.0% | lost(16) |
- Over 29.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 36.9lost(3)
- Model
- 46.6%
- Book
- 40.8%
- Over 3.5 receptionsSep 27 · projected 4.1lost(2)
- Model
- 49.2%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Under 82.5 rushRecYardsSep 14 · projected 65.5lost(99)
- Model
- 56.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 15.5 rushAttemptsSep 14 · projected 12.0lost(16)
- Model
- 60.2%
- Book
- 50.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Kenneth Walker III today?
The strongest current line: Kenneth Walker III under 92.5 rush yds (−140): model 64.4% vs book 58.3%, an edge of +6.1%.
How has the model done on Kenneth Walker III's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Kenneth Walker III, 0 won and 4 lost.
Every Kenneth Walker III line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).