EdgeGoat
Kyren Williams
Los Angeles Rams · #23 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyren Williams | Over 56.5 Rush YdsLAR @ PHI | 57.2% | 53.5%−115 | +3.7% |
- Over 56.5 Rush YdsLAR @ PHI+3.7%
- Model
- 57.2%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 15.3 | 15.3 | 98.4% | 96.8% | lost(70) |
| Over 61.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 71.8 | 71.8 | 47.5% | 45.5% | won(88) |
| Under 14.5 rushAttempts | Sep 21 · projected 12.8 | 12.8 | 60.4% | 56.5% | won(12) |
| Under 79.5 rushRecYards | Sep 21 · projected 64.4 | 64.4 | 56.1% | 53.5% | lost(84) |
| Under 50.5 recYards | Sep 10 · projected 13.5 | 13.5 | 98.8% | 96.8% | won(24) |
- Under 54.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 15.3lost(70)
- Model
- 98.4%
- Book
- 96.8%
- Over 61.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 71.8won(88)
- Model
- 47.5%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Under 14.5 rushAttemptsSep 21 · projected 12.8won(12)
- Model
- 60.4%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 79.5 rushRecYardsSep 21 · projected 64.4lost(84)
- Model
- 56.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 50.5 recYardsSep 10 · projected 13.5won(24)
- Model
- 98.8%
- Book
- 96.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Kyren Williams today?
The strongest current line: Kyren Williams over 56.5 rush yds (−115): model 57.2% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +3.7%.
How has the model done on Kyren Williams's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Kyren Williams, 3 won and 2 lost.
Every Kyren Williams line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).