EdgeGoat
Lamar Jackson
Baltimore Ravens · #8 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lamar Jackson | Under 224.5 Pass YdsTEN @ BAL | 63.9% | 53.5%−115 | +10.5% |
- Under 224.5 Pass YdsTEN @ BAL+10.5%
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 234.5 Pass Yds | Sep 27 · projected 217.2 | 217.2 | 50.7% | 48.8% | won(186) |
| Under 37.5 rushYards | Sep 27 · projected 31.6 | 31.6 | 57.4% | 50.0% | lost(50) |
| Under 8.5 rushAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 5.1 | 5.1 | 63.8% | 56.5% | won(4) |
| Under 6.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 4.7 | 4.7 | 63.2% | 52.4% | lost(7) |
| Under 27.5 passAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 25.6 | 25.6 | 67.6% | 53.5% | won(25) |
| Under 18.5 passCompletions | Sep 13 · projected 15.6 | 15.6 | 64.6% | 56.5% | won(17) |
- Under 234.5 Pass YdsSep 27 · projected 217.2won(186)
- Model
- 50.7%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 37.5 rushYardsSep 27 · projected 31.6lost(50)
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 8.5 rushAttemptsSep 20 · projected 5.1won(4)
- Model
- 63.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 6.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 4.7lost(7)
- Model
- 63.2%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 27.5 passAttemptsSep 13 · projected 25.6won(25)
- Model
- 67.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 18.5 passCompletionsSep 13 · projected 15.6won(17)
- Model
- 64.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Lamar Jackson today?
The strongest current line: Lamar Jackson under 224.5 pass yds (−115): model 63.9% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +10.5%.
How has the model done on Lamar Jackson's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on Lamar Jackson, 4 won and 2 lost.
Every Lamar Jackson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).