EdgeGoat
Luther Burden III
Chicago Bears · #10 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptions | Sep 20 · projected 3.8 | 3.8 | 57.9% | 57.4% | won(3) |
| Under 4.5 receptions | Sep 13 · projected 3.6 | 3.6 | 66.0% | 48.8% | lost(5) |
- Under 4.5 receptionsSep 20 · projected 3.8won(3)
- Model
- 57.9%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 4.5 receptionsSep 13 · projected 3.6lost(5)
- Model
- 66.0%
- Book
- 48.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Luther Burden III's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Luther Burden III, 1 won and 1 lost.
Every Luther Burden III line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).