EdgeGoat
Malik Willis
Miami Dolphins · #2 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 passAttempts | Sep 27 · projected 24.5 | 24.5 | 56.9% | 52.4% | lost(28) |
| Under 33.5 rushYards | Sep 27 · projected 27.4 | 27.4 | 57.6% | 54.5% | lost(55) |
| Under 6.5 rushAttempts | Sep 27 · projected 5.4 | 5.4 | 58.8% | 56.5% | lost(7) |
| Over 0.5 passTDs | Sep 20 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.8% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 6.5 rushAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 4.6 | 4.6 | 63.5% | 50.0% | won(2) |
| Under 17.5 passCompletions | Sep 13 · projected 16.0 | 16.0 | 59.3% | 53.5% | won(15) |
| Under 6.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 4.5 | 4.5 | 63.6% | 50.0% | won(6) |
| Over 0.5 passTDs | Sep 13 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 70.1% | 69.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 27.5 passAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 25.7 | 25.7 | 57.0% | 55.6% | won(27) |
- Under 27.5 passAttemptsSep 27 · projected 24.5lost(28)
- Model
- 56.9%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 33.5 rushYardsSep 27 · projected 27.4lost(55)
- Model
- 57.6%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 6.5 rushAttemptsSep 27 · projected 5.4lost(7)
- Model
- 58.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 passTDsSep 20 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 68.8%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 6.5 rushAttemptsSep 20 · projected 4.6won(2)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 17.5 passCompletionsSep 13 · projected 16.0won(15)
- Model
- 59.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 6.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 4.5won(6)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 passTDsSep 13 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 27.5 passAttemptsSep 13 · projected 25.7won(27)
- Model
- 57.0%
- Book
- 55.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Malik Willis's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Malik Willis, 5 won and 4 lost.
Every Malik Willis line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).