EdgeGoat
Marcus Mariota
Washington Commanders · #8 · 14 games logged
Pass Yds · last 14145.4
Pass TD · last 141
INT · last 140.5
Rush Yds · last 1424.7
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vs IND | 46 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27 | vs SEA | 183 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | @ DAL | 111 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 20 | vs PHI | 95 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 14 | @ NYG | 211 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 7 | @ MIN | 30 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 30 | vs DEN | 294 | 2 | 1 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | 213 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 9 | vs DET | 213 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | vs SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 27 | @ KC | 213 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 19 | @ DAL | 63 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 28 | @ ATL | 156 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 21 | vs LV | 207 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 28.5 Rush Yds | Oct 4 · projected 22.8 | 22.8 | 61.4% | 58.3% |
| Under 4.5 Rush Att | Oct 4 · projected 3.8 | 3.8 | 57.0% | 48.8% |
| Over 31.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 38.4 | 38.4 | 47.9% | 38.5% |
| Over 0.5 Pass TD | Sep 27 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 64.3% | 63.6% |
| Under 29.5 Pass Att | Sep 27 · projected 27.0 | 27.0 | 56.3% | 53.5% |
- Under 28.5 Rush YdsOct 4 · projected 22.8
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 4.5 Rush AttOct 4 · projected 3.8
- Model
- 57.0%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 31.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 38.4
- Model
- 47.9%
- Book
- 38.5%
- Over 0.5 Pass TDSep 27 · projected 1.1
- Model
- 64.3%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 29.5 Pass AttSep 27 · projected 27.0
- Model
- 56.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
Frequently asked questions
What is Marcus Mariota averaging over the last 14 games?
Across the last 14 logged games, Marcus Mariota is averaging 145.4 pass yds, 1 pass td, 0.5 int, 24.7 rush yds.
How did Marcus Mariota play in the last game?
On Sunday, October 4, 2026 vs IND, Marcus Mariota recorded 46 pass yds, 0 pass td, 0 int, 35 rush yds.
Every Marcus Mariota line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).