EdgeGoat
Marcus Mariota
Washington Commanders · #8 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 31.5 rushYards | Sep 27 · projected 38.4 | 38.4 | 47.9% | 38.5% | lost(11) |
| Under 29.5 passAttempts | Sep 27 · projected 27.0 | 27.0 | 56.3% | 53.5% | lost(30) |
| Over 0.5 passTDs | Sep 27 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 64.3% | 63.6% | won(1) |
- Over 31.5 rushYardsSep 27 · projected 38.4lost(11)
- Model
- 47.9%
- Book
- 38.5%
- Under 29.5 passAttemptsSep 27 · projected 27.0lost(30)
- Model
- 56.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 passTDsSep 27 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 64.3%
- Book
- 63.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Marcus Mariota's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Marcus Mariota, 1 won and 2 lost.
Every Marcus Mariota line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).