EdgeGoat
Matt Gay
Las Vegas Raiders · #14 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 fieldGoals | Sep 27 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 55.1% | 53.5% | won(2) |
| Over 6.5 kickingPoints | Sep 27 · projected 7.5 | 7.5 | 55.2% | 53.5% | won(7) |
- Over 1.5 fieldGoalsSep 27 · projected 1.9won(2)
- Model
- 55.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 6.5 kickingPointsSep 27 · projected 7.5won(7)
- Model
- 55.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Matt Gay's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Matt Gay, 2 won and 0 lost.
Every Matt Gay line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).