EdgeGoat
Pat Freiermuth
Pittsburgh Steelers · #88 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pat Freiermuth | Under 3.5 RecPIT @ CLE | 62.4% | 56.5%−130 | +5.9% |
- Under 3.5 RecPIT @ CLE+5.9%
- Model
- 62.4%
- Book
- 56.5%−130
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 83.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 33.4 | 33.4 | 95.5% | 94.1% | won(30) |
| Under 2.5 Rec | Sep 13 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 58.3% | 50.0% | lost(3) |
- Under 83.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 33.4won(30)
- Model
- 95.5%
- Book
- 94.1%
- Under 2.5 RecSep 13 · projected 1.7lost(3)
- Model
- 58.3%
- Book
- 50.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Pat Freiermuth today?
The strongest current line: Pat Freiermuth under 3.5 rec (−130): model 62.4% vs book 56.5%, an edge of +5.9%.
How has the model done on Pat Freiermuth's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Pat Freiermuth, 1 won and 1 lost.
Every Pat Freiermuth line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).