EdgeGoat
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City Chiefs · #15 · 22 games logged
Pass Yds · last 20259
Pass TD · last 201.7
INT · last 200.7
Rush Yds · last 2019.2
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs NYJ | 242 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 1 | @ DEN | 321 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 25 | @ SEA | 165 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18 | vs LAC | 272 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 4 | @ LV | 225 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @ MIA | 246 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | vs IND | 382 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | vs DEN | 184 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 1 |
| Dec 14 | vs LAC | 189 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 1 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOU | 160 | 0 | 3 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 27 | @ DAL | 261 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 23 | vs IND | 352 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16 | @ DEN | 276 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | @ BUF | 250 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 27 | vs WSH | 299 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 19 | vs LV | 286 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 12 | vs DET | 257 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 6 | @ JAX | 318 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 28 | vs BAL | 270 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 21 | @ NYG | 224 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Pass TD | Nov 8 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 68.9% | 67.7% |
| Over 233.5 Pass Yds | Oct 4 · projected 255.2 | 255.2 | 59.3% | 58.3% |
- Under 2.5 Pass TDNov 8 · projected 2.0
- Model
- 68.9%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 233.5 Pass YdsOct 4 · projected 255.2
- Model
- 59.3%
- Book
- 58.3%
Frequently asked questions
What is Patrick Mahomes averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Patrick Mahomes is averaging 259 pass yds, 1.7 pass td, 0.7 int, 19.2 rush yds.
How did Patrick Mahomes play in the last game?
On Sunday, November 8, 2026 vs NYJ, Patrick Mahomes recorded 242 pass yds, 2 pass td, 0 int, 8 rush yds.
Every Patrick Mahomes line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).