EdgeGoat
Sam Darnold
Seattle Seahawks · #14 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Darnold | Over 228.5 Pass YdsLAC @ SEA | 58.6% | 56.5%−130 | +2.1% |
- Over 228.5 Pass YdsLAC @ SEA+2.1%
- Model
- 58.6%
- Book
- 56.5%−130
Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Sam Darnold today?
The strongest current line: Sam Darnold over 228.5 pass yds (−130): model 58.6% vs book 56.5%, an edge of +2.1%.
Every Sam Darnold line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).