EdgeGoat
Saquon Barkley
Philadelphia Eagles · #26 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saquon Barkley | Under 67.5 Rush YdsLAR @ PHI | 65.2% | 41.7%+140 | +23.6% |
| Saquon Barkley | Under 17.5 CarriesLAR @ PHI | 63.0% | 50.0%+100 | +13.0% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 61.5 recYards | Sep 28 · projected 14.2 | 14.2 | 99.7% | 99.0% | won(-2) |
| Under 17.5 Carries | Sep 28 · projected 13.8 | 13.8 | 64.6% | 53.5% | won(15) |
| Under 90.5 rushRecYards | Sep 28 · projected 73.4 | 73.4 | 55.4% | 53.5% | won(80) |
| Under 65.5 Rush Yds | Sep 28 · projected 56.9 | 56.9 | 57.4% | 44.4% | lost(82) |
| Under 18.5 Carries | Sep 20 · projected 15.3 | 15.3 | 60.2% | 53.5% | won(4) |
| Under 17.5 Carries | Sep 13 · projected 15.8 | 15.8 | 57.1% | 50.0% | pending |
| Under 2.5 receptions | Sep 13 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 59.3% | 55.6% | pending |
- Under 61.5 recYardsSep 28 · projected 14.2won(-2)
- Model
- 99.7%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 17.5 CarriesSep 28 · projected 13.8won(15)
- Model
- 64.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 90.5 rushRecYardsSep 28 · projected 73.4won(80)
- Model
- 55.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 65.5 Rush YdsSep 28 · projected 56.9lost(82)
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 18.5 CarriesSep 20 · projected 15.3won(4)
- Model
- 60.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 17.5 CarriesSep 13 · projected 15.8pending
- Model
- 57.1%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 2.5 receptionsSep 13 · projected 2.1pending
- Model
- 59.3%
- Book
- 55.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Saquon Barkley today?
The strongest current line: Saquon Barkley under 67.5 rush yds (+140): model 65.2% vs book 41.7%, an edge of +23.6%.
How has the model done on Saquon Barkley's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Saquon Barkley, 4 won and 1 lost.
Every Saquon Barkley line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).