EdgeGoat
TreVeyon Henderson
New England Patriots · #32 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 TreVeyon Henderson | Under 11.5 CarriesNE @ BUF | 58.3% | 55.6%−125 | +2.7% |
| TreVeyon Henderson | Under 48.5 Rush YdsNE @ BUF | 66.2% | 64.3%−180 | +1.9% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptions | Sep 27 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 59.7% | 52.4% | won(1) |
| Under 125.5 Rush Yds | Sep 27 · projected 43.7 | 43.7 | 99.5% | 99.5% | won(23) |
| Under 26.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 6.7 | 6.7 | 94.0% | 82.6% | won(6) |
| Under 1.5 receptions | Sep 20 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 66.3% | 53.5% | won(0) |
- Under 1.5 receptionsSep 27 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 59.7%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 125.5 Rush YdsSep 27 · projected 43.7won(23)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 99.5%
- Under 26.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 6.7won(6)
- Model
- 94.0%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Under 1.5 receptionsSep 20 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 66.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about TreVeyon Henderson today?
The strongest current line: TreVeyon Henderson under 11.5 carries (−125): model 58.3% vs book 55.6%, an edge of +2.7%.
How has the model done on TreVeyon Henderson's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on TreVeyon Henderson, 4 won and 0 lost.
Every TreVeyon Henderson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).